Vila Nova vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.7%
30.9%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.9%
36.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
REM
0 - 0
VIL
43%
29%
29%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
FER
4 - 0
VIL
35%
29%
36%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 0
PAY
33%
30%
38%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 1
VIL
27%
30%
43%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 0
ANA
58%
25%
18%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 0
IMP
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 2
SAN
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 2
TRE
76%
17%
7%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
PAY
0 - 0
SAN
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAL
75%
17%
9%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |