Copa Verde Final
Global 1-1
Vila Nova vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2022 |
PAY
0 - 0
VIL
32%
26%
43%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
BRA
49%
27%
25%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
VIL
31%
26%
44%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
SPO
32%
32%
36%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
REA
61%
23%
15%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2022 |
PAY
0 - 0
VIL
32%
26%
43%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
PAY
3 - 0
SAO
79%
15%
6%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 2
PAY
8%
17%
74%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
PAY
2 - 0
TOC
70%
19%
12%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
PAY
3 - 0
SCH
83%
12%
5%
|
63 | 25 | 38 | 0 |