Vila Nova vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
59.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
CHA
41%
29%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 0
VIL
33%
29%
39%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 2
FLU
12%
25%
63%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
NAU
41%
29%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
LON
2 - 2
VIL
36%
29%
35%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 0
CRI
83%
13%
4%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
ITU
1 - 1
GRE
21%
25%
54%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
CRZ
1 - 0
GRE
25%
26%
49%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
CRB
83%
13%
5%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
OPE
0 - 1
GRE
16%
25%
60%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |