Vila Nova vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
51%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
ITA
1 - 1
VIL
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1979 |
VIL
2 - 0
VIT
25%
30%
46%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | +2 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
ECN
2 - 2
FLU
12%
23%
66%
|
89 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1979 |
ECG
1 - 1
FLU
35%
27%
38%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1978 |
SPO
1 - 0
FLU
38%
30%
32%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Jul. 1978 |
DBO
2 - 1
FLU
19%
24%
57%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1978 |
FLU
2 - 1
OPE
66%
19%
14%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |