Vila Nova vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
27.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 1
FFL
34%
29%
37%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
BRA
5 - 0
VIL
35%
29%
36%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 0
PAY
55%
26%
18%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
LON
3 - 2
VIL
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 0
JUV
58%
26%
17%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
CRI
3 - 3
CRB
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
LON
4 - 2
CRI
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
CRI
2 - 2
GOI
33%
27%
41%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
FFL
3 - 2
CRI
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 0
CRI
38%
29%
33%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |