Goiano 1 Etapas Finales. Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Vila Nova vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
APA
0 - 0
VIL
25%
25%
50%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
ANA
2 - 0
VIL
13%
22%
65%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 1
FER
72%
19%
9%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 1
GRE
72%
19%
9%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
ITU
0 - 1
VIL
12%
21%
67%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
APA
0 - 0
VIL
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
ITU
2 - 1
APA
24%
25%
51%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
APA
2 - 1
ANA
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
APA
1 - 1
GRE
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 3
APA
65%
22%
14%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |