Vila Nova vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 0
VIL
72%
18%
11%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 2
PAR
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
BAH
1 - 1
VIL
69%
19%
13%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 0
GUA
34%
26%
39%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
ICA
1 - 4
VIL
59%
22%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
AMF
2 - 3
POR
39%
28%
34%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
IFC
1 - 2
AMF
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
AMF
4 - 1
ARN
64%
23%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
FFL
0 - 1
AMF
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
AMF
1 - 1
COT
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |