Vila Nova vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2006 |
PAY
2 - 1
VIL
59%
22%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
VIL
2 - 0
BRA
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2006 |
VIL
2 - 1
CEA
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2006 |
ARN
2 - 0
VIL
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
COT
2 - 1
VIL
62%
23%
16%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2006 |
CEA
1 - 2
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
POR
2 - 4
PAU
32%
26%
43%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
POR
0 - 0
AVA
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2006 |
ATM
2 - 1
POR
77%
16%
7%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
ITU
1 - 1
POR
66%
21%
14%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |