Vila Aurora vs Sorriso EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
MGR
0 - 1
VIL
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
RON
2 - 2
VIL
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
MIX
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 0
MGR
62%
22%
17%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 1
BAR
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Sorriso EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CUI
1 - 0
SOR
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
SOR
0 - 2
MGR
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
RON
2 - 1
SOR
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
MIX
2 - 1
SOR
57%
21%
22%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
SOR
5 - 1
BAR
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +3 |