Vila Aurora vs Primavera EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
URO
1 - 2
VIL
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 2
BAR
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 0
VIL
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 0
RON
57%
23%
21%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
PRI
2 - 1
VIL
20%
24%
56%
|
46 | 13 | 33 | -1 |
Matches
Primavera EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
BAR
3 - 2
PRI
79%
14%
7%
|
21 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
PRI
1 - 1
CRA
23%
23%
54%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2011 |
PRI
0 - 1
URO
13%
21%
66%
|
20 | 56 | 36 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
RON
3 - 5
PRI
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
PRI
2 - 1
VIL
20%
24%
56%
|
13 | 46 | 33 | +6 |