Vila Aurora vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
37.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 1
VIL
47%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
AAC
3 - 2
VIL
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 3
URO
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 0
BAR
44%
24%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
URO
0 - 1
VIL
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
LUV
2 - 0
SOR
64%
20%
16%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
MIX
4 - 3
LUV
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
CRA
1 - 0
LUV
23%
23%
54%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
LUV
3 - 0
MIX
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
SOR
1 - 2
LUV
23%
23%
54%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | +1 |