Viktoria Plzeň vs Mladá Boleslav analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
3º
3º
47
4º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
82 | 13 |
1º
|
81% | |
|
1º
|
86 | 13 |
2º
|
54% | |
|
|
3º
|
69 | 7 |
3º
|
73% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 4 |
4º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 3 |
5º
|
81% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 2 |
6º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
27% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
73% | 19% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 81% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Plzeň
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
VKP
3 - 0
TEP
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
VKP
3 - 0
ZLI
76%
15%
9%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 1
VKP
33%
25%
42%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
FIO
2 - 0
VKP
67%
19%
15%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VKP
1 - 0
SLP
47%
24%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Mladá Boleslav
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
JAB
1 - 1
MBO
33%
26%
42%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 2
MBO
26%
27%
48%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MBO
1 - 2
TEP
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
MBO
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
MBO
3 - 2
ZLI
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |