Viktoria Köln vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
HAV
1 - 0
VIK
20%
22%
58%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
VIK
0 - 0
SAA
30%
24%
46%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
OSN
3 - 0
VIK
53%
24%
24%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
VIK
3 - 1
FRE
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
MUN
3 - 0
VIK
58%
23%
20%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MSV
3 - 2
EBT
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
MSV
2 - 0
WUR
38%
25%
37%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
BOR
4 - 1
MSV
47%
25%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
MSV
0 - 2
WEH
32%
25%
44%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MAG
2 - 1
MSV
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |