Viktoria Köln vs MSV Duisburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
8.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
RWA
0 - 1
VIK
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
WER
0 - 2
VIK
17%
21%
62%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
VIK
2 - 0
SWE
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 2
VIK
23%
23%
54%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
VIK
3 - 0
DOR
83%
12%
5%
|
53 | 14 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MSV
2 - 0
WER
69%
17%
14%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SWE
2 - 0
MSV
43%
26%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
MSV
2 - 3
SPO
47%
23%
29%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
DOR
0 - 2
MSV
12%
18%
70%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
MSV
2 - 2
SPE
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |