Viktoria Köln vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
66.5%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
LOK
0 - 3
VIK
21%
22%
57%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
CZJ
0 - 1
VIK
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
VIK
2 - 3
CZJ
62%
21%
18%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
BSC
2 - 0
VIK
20%
23%
57%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
VIK
4 - 0
WIE
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
SVZ
1 - 7
HER
4%
10%
86%
|
70 | 25 | 45 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
ALS
1 - 17
HER
2%
5%
93%
|
70 | 8 | 62 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
FEY
3 - 1
HER
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
HER
4 - 0
ADO
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
ZWO
1 - 2
HER
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |