Vihar Slavyanovo vs Lokomotiv Mezdra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
2º
5º
3º
60
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
93.5% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
43% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
43% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
69% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
70.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
56% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
13º
|
46.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
87% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vihar Slavyanovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SEV
1 - 1
VIH
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VIH
2 - 0
BDI
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ETR
0 - 2
VIH
10%
15%
74%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
VIH
1 - 1
LOK
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LOD
0 - 6
VIH
8%
17%
75%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Mezdra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
LOK
1 - 0
LOK
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LOK
4 - 0
ASV
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SEV
0 - 1
LOK
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LOK
1 - 0
FKD
69%
18%
14%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
BDI
2 - 1
LOK
66%
20%
15%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |