Vigor Lamezia vs FC Celano Marsica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vigor Lamezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
FAN
1 - 1
VIG
30%
27%
43%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
VIG
1 - 0
FCC
45%
27%
28%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
VIG
4 - 0
EBO
33%
26%
42%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +3 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
PRG
3 - 2
VIG
78%
16%
6%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAM
0 - 1
VIG
43%
27%
30%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Celano Marsica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
FCC
1 - 0
PAG
15%
25%
61%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
FCC
72%
19%
10%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 2
NEA
33%
24%
43%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
FCC
2 - 2
EBO
20%
23%
57%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PRG
2 - 0
FCC
83%
13%
4%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | 0 |