Victory vs Cavaly analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
19.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CAP
0 - 0
VIC
32%
32%
36%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
DON
0 - 0
VIC
52%
27%
21%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ASM
3 - 0
VIC
25%
33%
41%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CAV
0 - 0
VIC
36%
32%
32%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
VIC
4 - 0
CAP
55%
26%
18%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cavaly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CAV
1 - 0
VIO
41%
31%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
CAV
2 - 0
CAP
45%
30%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CAV
1 - 0
DON
38%
33%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CAV
0 - 0
VIC
36%
32%
32%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
VIO
1 - 0
CAV
54%
27%
19%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |