Victory vs Capoise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
18.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
VIC
0 - 0
BAL
46%
29%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
FIC
3 - 2
VIC
55%
27%
18%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2012 |
VIC
0 - 1
CAV
59%
25%
15%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
VIC
1 - 0
ASM
55%
27%
18%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
VIO
2 - 0
VIC
42%
30%
28%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Capoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CAP
0 - 0
CAV
42%
32%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
CAP
1 - 0
ASM
42%
31%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
AME
2 - 0
CAP
58%
26%
16%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CAP
0 - 0
VAL
32%
32%
36%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
DON
3 - 2
CAP
49%
29%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |