Victory vs Mirebalais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
21%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
VIC
3 - 1
TEM
38%
30%
32%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CAP
2 - 1
VIC
44%
29%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
TEM
2 - 0
VIC
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 1
VIC
44%
30%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2011 |
VIC
1 - 2
AIG
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Mirebalais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
ASM
0 - 0
ASC
40%
31%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
AIG
2 - 0
ASM
44%
30%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 0
ASM
46%
30%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
TEM
0 - 0
ASM
54%
27%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ASM
1 - 0
EDG
45%
29%
26%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |