Victoriano Arenas vs Arg. Rosario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victoriano Arenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SBA
3 - 2
VIC
65%
21%
14%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2015 |
VIC
2 - 1
CES
62%
22%
16%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
CAA
2 - 1
VIC
65%
22%
14%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
VIC
0 - 0
ALE
44%
27%
29%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 0
VIC
59%
23%
18%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arg. Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
ARR
2 - 1
CES
65%
20%
15%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
ALE
3 - 0
ARR
58%
24%
18%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 0
YUP
68%
19%
13%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
ITU
1 - 0
ARR
59%
24%
18%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 2
CLA
65%
20%
15%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |