Vicenza vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
BRE
2 - 1
VIC
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
VIC
3 - 2
FCS
91%
7%
2%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
ASS
2 - 1
VIC
20%
27%
53%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2000 |
VIC
3 - 2
CES
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2000 |
CHI
2 - 2
VIC
30%
27%
43%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
BRE
2 - 1
VIC
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
BRE
1 - 2
ALZ
83%
12%
4%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2000 |
BRE
0 - 1
BRE
15%
23%
62%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
BRE
1 - 0
TRE
58%
24%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
COS
2 - 2
BRE
26%
27%
47%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |