Vicenza vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
CTT
0 - 1
VIC
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 0
AVE
42%
28%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
LEO
1 - 1
VIC
34%
30%
37%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 2
CAR
43%
29%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MOD
1 - 2
VIC
50%
28%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 1
AVE
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2015 |
PRG
2 - 0
VAR
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
VAR
0 - 3
CAT
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MOD
1 - 1
VAR
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 4
FRO
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |