Vianense vs Melgacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
6.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vianense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
VIA
30%
24%
46%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
VIA
1 - 0
VIL
34%
25%
41%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
FAO
0 - 0
VIA
24%
23%
52%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
VIA
3 - 0
MAR
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
JOA
0 - 1
VIA
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Melgacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 2
SAN
16%
21%
63%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 1
MEL
84%
12%
5%
|
15 | 45 | 30 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 1
AMA
28%
24%
48%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BRA
3 - 0
MEL
83%
12%
5%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 1
CER
64%
20%
16%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |