Vianense vs Lusitania FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
55.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
2º
8º
2º
7
3º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 12 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
11 | 11 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 10 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 8 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
7 | 7 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 6 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 6 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vianense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
VIA
3 - 2
SAL
14%
23%
63%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
VIA
0 - 0
AMA
23%
28%
49%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
LUS
0 - 0
VIA
77%
16%
7%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SAL
2 - 0
VIA
73%
18%
8%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
PED
1 - 0
VIA
33%
26%
42%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
AMA
0 - 0
LUS
33%
27%
41%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
SAL
2 - 2
LUS
43%
27%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
LUS
0 - 0
VIA
77%
16%
7%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
LUS
1 - 0
AMA
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ALP
1 - 6
LUS
21%
26%
53%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |