VfR Aalen vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
SGF
1 - 0
VFR
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2013 |
VFR
0 - 0
SVS
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
VFR
2 - 4
PAD
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
FCU
1 - 3
VFR
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
VFR
0 - 1
STP
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2013 |
SVS
1 - 0
ERZ
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ERZ
0 - 0
ING
41%
27%
31%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
ERZ
0 - 2
STP
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
PAD
1 - 1
ERZ
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ERZ
3 - 0
F95
27%
27%
45%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |