VfR Aalen vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
33.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
SGD
2 - 0
VFR
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
VFR
0 - 1
KOL
25%
26%
49%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
WOL
2 - 0
VFR
76%
16%
9%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
RTV
1 - 2
VFR
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
VFR
0 - 0
MUN
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
ARB
0 - 3
KAI
31%
26%
43%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
COT
4 - 2
ARB
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
ARB
0 - 2
LEV
12%
19%
69%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ARB
2 - 1
SVS
59%
23%
19%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
ERZ
0 - 2
ARB
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |