VFC Mindense vs UD Abrantina analysis


22	ELO	26
0.7%	Tilt	-2%
26154º	General ELO ranking	26152º
939º	Country ELO ranking	937º
ELO win probability

36.2%

VFC Mindense

23.3%

Draw

40.5%

UD Abrantina

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

36.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%

23.3%

Draw

0-0

4%

1-1

10.3%

2-2

6.7%

3-3

1.9%

4-4

0.3%

5-5

<0%

0

23.3%

40.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%