VfB Krieschow vs FSV Motor Marienberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.6%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
8.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
11º
6º
22
7º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Krieschow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MAG
2 - 2
VFB
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
VFB
3 - 2
EIN
78%
13%
9%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
VFB
2 - 0
BUD
66%
17%
16%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SVA
0 - 1
VFB
20%
18%
62%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
LFC
2 - 0
VFB
12%
17%
71%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
FSV Motor Marienberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
PLA
6 - 0
FSV
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
EWD
5 - 0
FSV
62%
18%
20%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
FSV
2 - 0
SVG
45%
22%
34%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
GER
4 - 1
FSV
79%
12%
9%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FSV
1 - 1
SCF
24%
21%
55%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +2 |