Homberg vs Speldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.7%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.7%
5-0
7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.2%
3.1%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2019 |
VFB
3 - 1
DUS
81%
13%
7%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
FCB
1 - 2
VFB
13%
20%
67%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
VFB
3 - 1
DUS
83%
12%
6%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
HIL
0 - 1
VFB
19%
19%
62%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
VFB
4 - 2
SCH
80%
13%
7%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Speldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
SPE
1 - 2
NET
39%
21%
40%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
VEL
1 - 1
SPE
78%
14%
9%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
JDH
2 - 1
SPE
53%
22%
26%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
SPE
2 - 6
FCB
24%
22%
54%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
DUS
1 - 0
SPE
59%
21%
20%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |