Homberg vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
71.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
RWA
3 - 3
VFB
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
VFB
4 - 2
STR
29%
24%
48%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
VFB
3 - 1
SSN
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
VFB
1 - 2
SPO
28%
22%
51%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
BOR
2 - 0
VFB
66%
18%
16%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
ROT
4 - 1
FOR
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ROT
2 - 1
WUP
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2022 |
SPR
1 - 4
ROT
13%
19%
68%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
ROT
1 - 2
MEP
38%
24%
39%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
STR
0 - 1
ROT
13%
21%
66%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |