VfB Bottrop vs SpVgg Herten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
28%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Bottrop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1964 |
BOT
6 - 0
EID
70%
17%
14%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
ROT
2 - 0
BOT
64%
19%
18%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
ROT
7 - 2
BOT
62%
19%
19%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
SHE
0 - 0
BOT
50%
21%
28%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
BOT
3 - 0
LSV
72%
16%
12%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SpVgg Herten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1964 |
ROT
1 - 2
SPV
63%
19%
19%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
SPV
1 - 2
EID
81%
12%
8%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
WHE
0 - 4
SPV
67%
17%
16%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
SPV
3 - 2
DUI
62%
19%
19%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
SPV
0 - 1
HAM
72%
16%
12%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |