VF Colligiana vs Gualdo Casacastalda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VF Colligiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
GAV
1 - 1
VFC
52%
24%
24%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VFC
0 - 2
VMO
41%
24%
36%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
VOL
0 - 3
VFC
27%
27%
46%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
VFC
5 - 2
MPO
32%
27%
41%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
VFC
4 - 0
SSD
47%
25%
27%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Gualdo Casacastalda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 0
FCV
15%
23%
63%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
SSD
4 - 1
CAS
36%
26%
39%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
ASG
13%
21%
66%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 0
CAS
55%
23%
22%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
USP
38%
27%
35%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |