Verl vs Sportfreunde Lotte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
49%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
DIE
0 - 2
VER
58%
23%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
VER
0 - 1
FOR
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
ROT
1 - 1
VER
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
VER
1 - 0
H05
63%
21%
17%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
WAT
0 - 1
VER
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sportfreunde Lotte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 1
ROD
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
VIK
1 - 1
SPO
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 0
S04
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BOR
2 - 2
SPO
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
SPO
4 - 1
KRA
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |