Verl vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2002 |
KÖL
3 - 1
VER
38%
25%
37%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
VER
4 - 2
DRE
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
CHE
3 - 1
VER
43%
25%
32%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
VER
2 - 1
KFC
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
LUB
0 - 2
VER
62%
20%
18%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2002 |
PAD
3 - 1
ROT
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2002 |
BAY
2 - 1
PAD
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
PAD
3 - 2
WAT
30%
24%
46%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
ERZ
2 - 1
PAD
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
PAD
3 - 1
EBT
37%
27%
37%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +2 |