Verdal vs Orkla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
38.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
8º
13º
12º
21
7º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verdal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
LIL
7 - 1
VER
66%
18%
16%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
VER
5 - 0
SUR
68%
17%
15%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
STA
3 - 3
VER
89%
8%
3%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
VER
1 - 4
RFK
14%
17%
69%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
NAR
5 - 1
VER
87%
9%
4%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Orkla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
ORK
0 - 3
RFK
24%
19%
57%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
ROS
3 - 0
ORK
49%
20%
31%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ORK
4 - 2
LIL
49%
20%
32%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
MOS
0 - 1
ORK
34%
21%
45%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
ORK
1 - 3
SUR
88%
8%
5%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -1 |