Veracruz vs Guerreros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
VER
1 - 1
TIJ
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
UDG
1 - 2
VER
27%
26%
47%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
VER
2 - 1
IRA
64%
21%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
NEC
1 - 0
VER
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
VER
0 - 0
MER
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guerreros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
GUE
0 - 1
UDG
36%
28%
37%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
IRA
4 - 0
GUE
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
GUE
0 - 0
NEC
15%
25%
60%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
DOR
2 - 0
GUE
65%
21%
13%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
GUE
0 - 1
ATL
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |