Vera vs Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
61.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
TEL
4 - 1
VER
65%
19%
16%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
VER
3 - 7
SDT
25%
24%
51%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
VER
0 - 1
LAG
48%
26%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
REA
3 - 4
VER
40%
24%
36%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
VER
1 - 2
VIC
33%
26%
41%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
EST
3 - 0
MAR
37%
27%
36%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
UDL
2 - 1
EST
24%
26%
50%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
EST
1 - 1
YAI
65%
21%
14%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
COT
0 - 1
EST
31%
25%
45%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
TEL
1 - 1
EST
29%
26%
45%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |