Vera vs Arucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
42.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
VSB
3 - 2
VER
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
VER
1 - 2
LAN
31%
26%
43%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
SPO
4 - 3
VER
47%
23%
29%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
VER
2 - 1
UDL
33%
26%
41%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
VER
0 - 4
COT
45%
23%
32%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
ARU
2 - 3
CDM
28%
26%
47%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
ARU
73%
17%
11%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ARU
2 - 0
CSU
67%
19%
14%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
VIC
0 - 2
ARU
48%
25%
28%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
ARU
0 - 0
EST
39%
26%
35%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |