Venray vs HVCH analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
16.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
10º
6º
44
1º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 45 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
43.5% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 44 |
11º
|
43.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
KAM
8 - 3
VEN
55%
22%
23%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
VEN
3 - 2
HAL
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
NUE
1 - 3
VEN
40%
23%
37%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
VEN
3 - 4
JUL
26%
22%
51%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
LON
4 - 1
VEN
27%
21%
51%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
HVCH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
HVC
0 - 4
SIL
65%
19%
16%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
RKZ
0 - 5
HVC
17%
20%
63%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
HVC
0 - 2
MEE
20%
23%
57%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ORI
2 - 3
HVC
48%
23%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
KAM
1 - 1
HVC
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +1 |