Venezia vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
28.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
TRI
3 - 1
VNZ
52%
22%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
VNZ
2 - 2
LIV
59%
19%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
INT
4 - 2
VNZ
84%
10%
6%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
NOV
0 - 0
VNZ
48%
23%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1941 |
VNZ
1 - 1
NAP
63%
19%
19%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
ROM
1 - 0
ATL
64%
18%
18%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
TOR
0 - 0
ROM
70%
17%
13%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
ROM
1 - 1
BOL
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
TRI
4 - 1
ROM
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1941 |
ROM
3 - 1
LIV
60%
20%
21%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |