Venezia vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
33.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ACL
0 - 0
VNZ
51%
27%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
VNZ
0 - 1
PAD
35%
28%
37%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
PRO
3 - 0
VNZ
58%
25%
18%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ASS
2 - 1
VNZ
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
VNZ
1 - 1
REG
35%
29%
36%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
NOV
2 - 1
PRO
46%
25%
28%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 1
USC
44%
24%
31%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
REG
0 - 0
NOV
54%
26%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
NOV
2 - 2
RAV
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
USC
1 - 0
NOV
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |