Venezia vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
16.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
CTT
0 - 0
VNZ
39%
28%
32%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
PIZ
0 - 1
VNZ
34%
29%
38%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
VNZ
2 - 1
PAV
54%
26%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
VNZ
2 - 1
PIS
52%
27%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
ACS
2 - 1
VNZ
31%
29%
40%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
NOV
3 - 1
GRO
36%
28%
36%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
PIS
1 - 1
NOV
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
NOV
0 - 0
MAS
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
CTT
2 - 2
NOV
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
NOV
3 - 2
PIZ
45%
27%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |