Serie A Round 14

Venezia vs Napoli analysis

Venezia Napoli
75 ELO 75
3.7% Tilt -10.6%
159º General ELO ranking
24º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
63%
Venezia
18.5%
Draw
18.5%
Napoli

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
Venezia
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
18.6%
Win probability
Napoli
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Venezia
Napoli
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Venezia
Venezia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jan. 1941
GEN
Genoa
1 - 0
Venezia
VNZ
72%
15%
13%
75 81 6 0
29 Dec. 1940
VNZ
Venezia
1 - 1
Juventus
JUV
35%
24%
42%
75 85 10 0
22 Dec. 1940
LAZ
Lazio
4 - 1
Venezia
VNZ
63%
19%
19%
75 79 4 0
15 Dec. 1940
VNZ
Venezia
2 - 1
Fiorentina
FIO
63%
19%
19%
75 75 0 0
08 Dec. 1940
ACM
Milan
0 - 0
Venezia
VNZ
61%
19%
20%
75 79 4 0

Matches

Napoli
Napoli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jan. 1941
NAP
Napoli
4 - 1
Atalanta
ATL
55%
21%
24%
75 73 2 0
29 Dec. 1940
TOR
Torino
6 - 2
Napoli
NAP
75%
15%
10%
75 82 7 0
22 Dec. 1940
NAP
Napoli
2 - 1
Roma
ROM
47%
24%
28%
75 81 6 0
15 Dec. 1940
TRI
Triestina
2 - 0
Napoli
NAP
50%
24%
26%
76 75 1 -1
08 Dec. 1940
NAP
Napoli
1 - 2
Livorno
LIV
56%
21%
22%
76 73 3 0