Venezia vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
VNZ
1 - 0
CAT
49%
25%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
TAR
0 - 0
VNZ
51%
26%
24%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
BAR
0 - 2
VNZ
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
VNZ
0 - 1
MOD
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
BAR
0 - 2
VNZ
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
MES
2 - 1
LEC
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
MES
3 - 0
CAG
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
ACP
0 - 0
MES
53%
22%
25%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
ACM
4 - 0
MES
62%
21%
16%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
PRO
2 - 2
MES
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |