Venezia vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
24.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1991 |
BOL
1 - 1
VNZ
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1991 |
VNZ
1 - 1
UDI
39%
30%
32%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1991 |
MOD
1 - 1
VNZ
52%
27%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1991 |
VNZ
1 - 1
COS
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1991 |
BRE
1 - 1
VNZ
53%
27%
20%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1991 |
ASL
2 - 1
CES
42%
30%
27%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1991 |
LEC
0 - 1
ASL
64%
23%
14%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1991 |
AVE
3 - 2
ASL
45%
29%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1991 |
ASL
0 - 0
TAR
51%
27%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1991 |
COS
2 - 1
ASL
47%
29%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |