Venezia vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
ABN
2 - 1
VNZ
22%
25%
53%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
PAR
2 - 1
VNZ
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
VNZ
1 - 1
TOR
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
UDI
1 - 0
VNZ
71%
17%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
VNZ
0 - 2
PRG
35%
26%
38%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
SPE
0 - 3
VIC
39%
25%
36%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
ABN
1 - 1
SPE
26%
27%
47%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
SPE
1 - 0
PAD
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
ASL
0 - 1
SPE
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
SPE
3 - 1
TRI
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |