VELO vs VUC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
15.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
5º
3º
29
11º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
3º
|
62.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
83.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
62.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
62.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 1 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VELO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
ZWA
1 - 4
VEL
27%
22%
51%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
VEL
2 - 2
AFC
71%
17%
13%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
FSP
3 - 4
VEL
46%
23%
31%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
VEL
9 - 1
HED
23%
23%
55%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +5 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
NOO
7 - 0
VEL
42%
24%
34%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
VUC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
RKS
6 - 1
VUC
59%
20%
21%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
VUC
0 - 2
UNI
23%
20%
57%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
VUC
1 - 1
OLY
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
VUC
2 - 1
VVH
67%
18%
16%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
SVD
3 - 0
VUC
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |