Vellmar vs Würges analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
20.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
VEL
1 - 4
HUN
66%
18%
15%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
SWM
1 - 1
VEL
30%
25%
46%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
VEL
5 - 2
WAL
30%
22%
48%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 3
VEL
34%
25%
41%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
VEL
5 - 2
URB
54%
21%
25%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Würges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
WUR
1 - 0
SWM
54%
23%
24%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2010 |
WUR
2 - 2
MAR
66%
20%
14%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
WUR
0 - 1
URB
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
WUR
0 - 0
FRA
62%
21%
17%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
ESC
3 - 1
WUR
58%
21%
21%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |