Oberliga Hessen Round 1

Vellmar vs Rot-Weiß Darmstadt analysis

Vellmar Rot-Weiß Darmstadt
27 ELO 25
20.7% Tilt 10.7%
14906º General ELO ranking 11306º
630º Country ELO ranking 529º
ELO win probability
60.7%
Vellmar
19.6%
Draw
19.7%
Rot-Weiß Darmstadt

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
Vellmar
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
19.7%
Win probability
Rot-Weiß Darmstadt
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vellmar
-19%
-28%
Rot-Weiß Darmstadt

ELO progression

Vellmar
Rot-Weiß Darmstadt
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vellmar
Vellmar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 May. 2012
VEL
Vellmar
1 - 2
Eschborn
ESC
26%
22%
52%
28 38 10 0
19 May. 2012
URB
Viktoria Urberach
4 - 1
Vellmar
VEL
53%
22%
25%
29 32 3 -1
12 May. 2012
VEL
Vellmar
2 - 1
Wehen Wiesbaden II
WEH
49%
23%
28%
28 31 3 +1
04 May. 2012
BAU
KSV Baunatal
1 - 3
Vellmar
VEL
79%
13%
8%
27 39 12 +1
28 Apr. 2012
VEL
Vellmar
1 - 0
Eintracht Stadtallendorf
EIN
72%
16%
12%
26 21 5 +1

Matches

Rot-Weiß Darmstadt
Rot-Weiß Darmstadt
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 May. 2012
ROT
Rot-Weiß Darmstadt
5 - 1
Eintracht Wetzlar
EIW
71%
17%
12%
26 19 7 0
19 May. 2012
ROT
Rot-Weiß Darmstadt
0 - 4
Fernwald
FER
39%
24%
36%
28 33 5 -2
12 May. 2012
BUC
Buchonia Flieden
1 - 4
Rot-Weiß Darmstadt
ROT
66%
18%
16%
26 29 3 +2
05 May. 2012
LOH
Lohfelden
4 - 1
Rot-Weiß Darmstadt
ROT
55%
21%
24%
27 26 1 -1
28 Apr. 2012
ROT
Rot-Weiß Darmstadt
0 - 4
Eschborn
ESC
28%
22%
50%
29 36 7 -2